Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.285645 0.332844 0.385531 0.448730 0.522529 0.606039 0.707803
2025-02-02 0.221858 0.286768 0.367151 0.474162 0.613160 0.787981 1.025195
2025-02-09 0.186703 0.258345 0.353335 0.488807 0.677639 0.932419 1.303861
2025-02-16 0.159152 0.232899 0.336330 0.492459 0.723157 1.053075 1.563634
2025-02-23 0.136472 0.209580 0.317203 0.487839 0.753045 1.151960 1.802210
2025-03-02 0.116076 0.186056 0.293602 0.471739 0.761366 1.217119 1.995385
2025-03-09 0.105469 0.175860 0.288418 0.482546 0.811619 1.351561 2.314312
2025-03-16 0.094549 0.163471 0.277774 0.482390 0.842848 1.457575 2.598395
2025-03-23 0.086872 0.155393 0.272989 0.490999 0.889221 1.593533 2.950923
2025-03-30 0.077526 0.143127 0.259350 0.481954 0.902531 1.672090 3.208539
2025-04-06 0.070151 0.133450 0.249037 0.477390 0.922924 1.764980 3.503820
2025-04-13 0.063917 0.125110 0.240114 0.474128 0.944939 1.862740 3.820163
2025-04-20 0.061284 0.123582 0.244233 0.497449 1.023529 2.082892 4.420109
2025-04-27 0.058941 0.122380 0.248915 0.522672 1.109693 2.330148 5.114296
2025-05-04 0.055901 0.119330 0.249442 0.539195 1.179510 2.551950 5.784393
2025-05-11 0.051985 0.113935 0.244443 0.543192 1.222620 2.721859 6.362373
2025-05-18 0.047706 0.107221 0.235831 0.538090 1.244654 2.847817 6.856366
2025-05-25 0.042893 0.098736 0.222366 0.520298 1.235226 2.901048 7.184416
2025-06-01 0.040783 0.096161 0.221781 0.532240 1.297138 3.127775 7.969726
2025-06-08 0.038018 0.091721 0.216403 0.532068 1.329677 3.288220 8.610705
2025-06-15 0.036125 0.089143 0.215078 0.541582 1.387370 3.517475 9.463198
2025-06-22 0.033224 0.083750 0.206389 0.531586 1.394097 3.619129 9.989718
2025-06-29 0.030872 0.079465 0.199942 0.526543 1.413097 3.754839 10.629559